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Affordable, Rapid Bootstrapping of the Space Industry and Solar System Civilization

机译:经济实惠,快速引导航天工业和太阳能系统   文明

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摘要

Advances in robotics and additive manufacturing have become game-changing forthe prospects of space industry. It has become feasible to bootstrap aself-sustaining, self-expanding industry at reasonably low cost. Simplemodeling was developed to identify the main parameters of successfulbootstrapping. This indicates that bootstrapping can be achieved with as littleas 12 metric tons (MT) landed on the Moon during a period of about 20 years.The equipment will be teleoperated and then transitioned to full autonomy sothe industry can spread to the asteroid belt and beyond. The strategy beginswith a sub-replicating system and evolves it toward full self-sustainability(full closure) via an in situ technology spiral. The industry growsexponentially due to the free real estate, energy, and material resources ofspace. The mass of industrial assets at the end of bootstrapping will be 156 MTwith 60 humanoid robots, or as high as 40,000 MT with as many as 100,000humanoid robots if faster manufacturing is supported by launching a total of 41MT to the Moon. Within another few decades with no further investment, it canhave millions of times the industrial capacity of the United States. Modelingover wide parameter ranges indicates this is reasonable, but further analysisis needed. This industry promises to revolutionize the human condition.
机译:机器人技术和增材制造的进步已经改变了太空工业的前景。以合理的低成本引导自我维持,自我扩展的行业已变得可行。开发了简单模型以识别成功引导的主要参数。这表明在大约20年的时间内,只需将12公吨(MT)降落在月球上就可以实现自举,该设备将进行遥控操作,然后过渡为完全自主权,因此该行业可以扩展到小行星带及其周围地区。该策略始于子复制系统,并通过原位技术螺旋将其发展为完全自我维持(完全封闭)。由于空间的自由房地产,能源和物质资源,该行业呈指数增长。引导结束时的工业资产总量将为156 MT(配备60个类人机器人),如果通过向月球发射总共41 MT的机器来支持更快的制造,则高达40,000 MT(多达100,000个类人机器人)。再过几十年,如果没有进一步的投资,它的工业能力将达到美国的数百万倍。在较宽的参数范围内建模表明这是合理的,但需要进一步分析。这个行业有望彻底改变人类的生活条件。

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